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Description
Describe the Enhancement
#1583 added support for HiRA to Ensemble-Stat. However, the work on that issue did not address this comment from @mpm-meto.
Applying HiRA to ensembles effectively means that what is done for a single deterministic forecast in terms of the extraction of neighbourhoods from the forecast field has to be repeated n times before the stats are computed, i.e. if you have a 3 x 3 neighbourhood it gives a pseudo ensemble of 9 for which the scores are calculated in the deterministic case. When the same 3 x 3 neighbourhood is applied to an ensemble of 18 members then 3 x 3 x 18 values are extracted to create a pseudo ensemble from which the scores are calculated. Put another way the neighbourhood relevant to a given location has to be extracted first from each ensemble member; all the values need to be concatenated to create one (long) vector before being fed into the statistical calculation.
One other thing to bear in mind is that we calculate two kinds of bias ratios with HiRA. A mean bias ratio and a bias ratio which is more like a frequency bias. It would be great if these could also be considered for inclusion at some point.
The mean bias ratio is what it says on the tin, calculating the mean of the neighbourhood values (across a site or all sites) normalised by the single or mean for a site or all sites in a list.
The bias ratio is defined as:
The task for this issue is likely adding a new column of output to the ECNT line type. Adding a new column for MET version 10.1.0 is unrealistic during the last development cycle for that release. It would not provide sufficient time for METdatadb and METviewer to be updated to handle this change. Recommend addressing this in MET version 11.0.0.
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